This means, that some players could and will fall a bit. And while I'm still dreaming about some really top notch talents like Josh Bell, Mike Mahtook or Daniel Norris falling to the Rays, the probability is really slim. What's the main reason for that?
- Pick 1-19: Boston Red Sox (They will take best player available ... I could easily see Archie Bradley falling to them)
- Pick 1-20: Colorado Rockies (They have a history of taking the best player available. They are not shy of high bonus demands)
- Pick 1-21: Toronto Blue Jays (The new regime is not afraid of putting money into prospects. They will take the best player on their board)
- Pick 1-22: St. Louis Cardinals (They also are not afraid of spending big in the draft)
I am afraid that any top 15 or maybe even top 21 talents (the talents 16-21 seem to be M. Mahtook, J. Bell, A. Meyer, B. Swihart, J. Fernandez and J. Baez) will be gone before the 1st Rays pick. Just good to know that the Rays have 12 picks in the first 2 rounds and that this draft is incredibly deep in talent.
On the positive side,if our 1st pick were much higher, we would then have to pay that 1st pick much more $$.Now we will be able to use that extra $$ to help sign all 10 picks that we have in the first 60 overall.ReplyDelete
While that's right, the Rays selected a high upside player in last years draft at 1-17 for nearly slot money (1.62 Mio. $).ReplyDelete
I still hope the Rays don't work with a budget limit this year. They should look at each player individually and select the player with the highest future value/price tag difference.
Boston snaked our guy in 2009 (Reymond Fuentes) and I expect they'll throw a monkey wrench into our plans again this year. That being said, I see a pretty strong possibility that some great players will be available both at 1.24 and then again at 1.31 and 1.32.ReplyDelete
Josh Bell would be the dream if he somehow fell to 1.24; I don't rate that as particularly likely, but it could happen. Jose Fernandez I think will be there. Mikie Mahtook might be. Andrew Susac might be. Jackie Bradley, Jr. probably will be. Alex Meyer might be. Those are all top 10 selections in leaner years.
Where I really expect the Rays to clean up is at picks 31 and 32 (and then again in the early supplemental), where they might nab both C.J. Cron AND Kolten Wong, and still turn around and pick a high-upside prep arm (Tyler Beede? Robert Stephenson?) at 38.
Ehhh, I'm not scared. Going off of Baseball America's midseason top 50 list (found here: http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/draft/news/2011/2611568.html), I see there are more than 24 players I would be happy to get at Pick #24. 1-22 are all worthy of out pick, and so are 24,26,27, and even 32.ReplyDelete