Today's question: Which prospect is the most over-hyped(who's getting too much love heading into 2010)?
Cork Gaines: We were surprised to see Matt Sweeney in Keith Law's Top 100 (#68) and #5 in the Rays organization. His power might translate well to the big leagues, but even Law admits Sweeney's future is at first base, and slow-footed first basemen with some pop are a dime-a-dozen these days. And even then, does anybody think Sweeney is going to be a 40-home run guy? I don't.
Tommy Rancel: It's hard to pick an over-hyped prospect because I like them all, but I think Matt Moore may gotten a little more attention than he deserved. I only say that because his walks regressed in the neighborhood of 5.0/9. The good news is he's lefty, young, and talented enough that he can work on correcting that over the next few seasons.
FreeZorilla: Alex Torres. I don't mean to knock Torres, but he was deemed the headliner in the Kazmir package and may end up as the 3rd best of the Rodriguez, Sweeney, Torres package. He has the stuff for potential, but command is a big unknown at this point.
Ricky: Desmond Jennings. Yes he is excellent and yes he likely be the replacement for Carl Crawford in the Rays outfield, but that injury issue always comes up, likely to miss the rest of spring training with an wrist strain.
Jason Collette: Matt Moore. The strikeout rate is insane but so is 105 walks in 197 innings. Something has to give eventually as more disciplined hitters at the higher levels won't chase stuff out of the zone that he's been able to get away with so far.
Jake Larsen: My most over-hyped prospect is Aneury Rodriguez. While I was happy that we could turn Jason Hammel into a decent pitching prospect like Aneury, I really am not impressed with him at all. 2010 is a make-or-break year for him, especially with the youngsters coming up through the pipeline and the possibility of blue-chip prospects we could draft in the 1st and 2nd rounds(combined 6 picks, 4 of them are comp(meaning we don't get anymore re-dos/"must sign" guys))
Doug Milhoan: Of the Rays top ranked prospects, Tim Beckham is the one that I have the most doubts about. He's not a bust (yet), but he was a reach at #1 overall (and $6,150,000). Offensively, a .275/.328/.389 line by a 19 year-old SS in full-season ball isn't bad, but it's not the kind of performance you expect from a top pick. Defensively, 43 errors and a .919 fielding percentage raise serious doubts about his ability to stick at shortstop. On the basepaths he was only successful on 13 of 23 steal attempts. He has some tools that give some hope, such as good bat speed at the plate and good movement and a strong arm in the field. So even though I still like him and appreciate the tools, his #67 ranking on Baseball America's Top 100 prospects in baseball seems overly optimistic.
Kevin Gengler: I'll double-dip here and take two of the players received in the Scott Kazmir trade: Alex Torres and Matt Sweeney. Both do a lot of things well, but I think they're being rated too highly. Torres gets a ton of groundballs and strikes out plenty, but he doesn't have a good pitcher's frame and his control is suspect at best. In seven stints as a pro, his BB/9 was under 4.7 only one time, and that was in the Arizona Rookie League as a 20-year old. Sweeney swings a decent bat, but he's probably limited to 1B in the future, and I don't know if he has the power to be a starter there.