Overall state of the farm
The system as a whole remains to be mediocre. Bright spots continue to be in Bowling Green (league-best, top prospect driven offense with an excellent, and very balanced pitching staff), in Montgomery (very balanced offense with Ryan Garko and Kyeong Kang leading the way) as well as in Hudson Valley (excellent pitching around Guerrieri and Henderson), Princeton (Andrew Toles, Omar Narvaez and Reid Redman lead the way) and the GCL Rays (Armenta, Gannon, De la Cruz, Havlicek as well as older relievers like Michael Quist and Jordan Harrison lead the way).
OPS-CH and ERA-CH stands for the OPS and ERA change since the last minor league breakdown. Overall ERA and OPS are from ALL affiliates (including DSL, VSL and short season ball affiliates)
Prospects stats overview
Prospects on the rise
- Oscar Armenta ... Could he be the next Rays top pitching prospect out of South America? His state-side start looks encouraging.
- Josh Lueke ... As of late, he is dominating in AAA with a 2.05 FIP, 11.1 K/9 and 1.2 BB/9 over his last 14.2 IP.
- Taylor Guerrieri ... Despite the little injury, this is what we were all hoping for: Excellent command as well as dominant stuff resulting in low hit- and high K-rates.
- Brandon Henderson ... He continues to reach excellent results with his pin-point control and finesse pitching.
- Stepan Havlicek ... No red flags to be seen. He even was a tad unlucky (low LOB%, higher ERA than FIP, above average BABIP)
- Jeff Ames and Blake Snell ... Both 2011 1st supplemental-round selections look excellent so far.
- Merrill Kelly ... Despite a decreasing groundball rate, he seems of having found his niche in the pen.
- Honorable mentions: Roberto Gomez, Chris Rearick, Marquis Fleming.
Encouraging signs from players with <15 IP: Ryan Garton (36.1 K%, 2.8 BB%), Jordan Harrison, Nolan Gannon, Jose Molina, Zach Butler.
Prospects to be falling
Prospects to be falling
- Bryan Augenstein ... While his stats still look excellent on the season, he is trending downwards with a 4.73 FIP (5.16 ERA) and mediocre.
- C.J. Riefenhauser ... Are A+ guys figuring him out? Only 5.6 K/9 and a 5.87 FIP (7.57 ERA) over his last 22.2 IP are not what we were used to see from him.
- Enny Romero ... Is he ever going to find the strike-zone?
- Romulo Sanchez ... Not the dominating AAA/major league depth pitcher the Rays were hoping for.
Discouraging signs from players with <15 IP: Damion Carroll, Lenny Linsky.
All of the stats provided above are excluding the stats from the previous day. I preferrably use FanGraphs as source for the stats. Click on each stat for its explanation: